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Samsung’s Q4 Earnings Expected to Take Hit from Nvidia AI Chip Supply Delay

Samsung’s Profit Growth Continues to Slow Down

Overview

Samsung Electronics, the world’s leading memory chip maker, is expected to report its profit growth has slowed down in the fourth quarter of 2022. The company struggled to keep up with Nvidia’s strong demand for AI chips, which affected its operating profit.

Profit Growth Slows Down

According to analysts’ estimates, Samsung’s operating profit rose to 8.2 trillion won ($5.6 billion) in the fourth quarter ended December. This is an increase from a low base of 2.8 trillion won a year earlier but lower than the previous quarter’s 9.18 trillion won.

A number of analysts have reduced their earnings estimates in recent weeks, with some expecting operating profit to fall below 8 trillion won. This downward revision is due to Samsung’s delayed supply of high-end chips to Nvidia, which has continued to impact its earnings.

Analysts’ Estimates

In October, Samsung made a rare apology for its disappointing third-quarter performance and stated that it was making progress in supplying AI chips to Nvidia. However, the company has not provided any update since then. Delays in providing Nvidia with high-end chips have weighed on its earnings, analysts said.

In November, Samsung replaced some of its top executives in the chip division and named its chip division chief as co-CEO, giving him direct control over the struggling memory chip business.

Impact on Share Price

Shares of Samsung, South Korea’s most valuable stock, slumped 32% last year, lagging behind the wider market’s 10% loss. In contrast, its cross-town rival, SK Hynix, a major supplier of advanced AI memory chips to Nvidia, is expected to post record earnings for the fourth quarter.

Challenges Faced by Samsung

Lackluster demand for traditional chips used in mobile phones and PCs, as well as rising output from Chinese rivals, has put pressure on chip prices. U.S. chipmaker Micron Technology last month forecast quarterly revenue and profit below Wall Street estimates, sending shares lower due to weak demand for consumer-centric products.

Prices of DDR4 DRAM chips used in personal computers fell by as much as 13% in the fourth quarter and are expected to decline another 15% in the current quarter, according to estimates from researcher TrendForce. This offset the positive impact of the weaker local currency that boosts repatriated earnings from overseas.

The South Korean won dropped to its weakest level in 15 years in December after President Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law decree triggered political turmoil and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump advocated higher tariffs on imports.

Business Challenges Ahead

Samsung’s business of making logic chips designed by customers like Qualcomm is expected to continue to make losses, eroding its chip earnings, analysts said. The company will announce estimates on fourth-quarter revenue and operating profit on Wednesday, with a plan to release detailed results including a breakdown of earnings for each of its businesses in late January.

Conclusion

Samsung Electronics faces significant challenges ahead as it struggles to keep up with Nvidia’s strong demand for AI chips. Despite its efforts to supply high-end chips to Nvidia, delays have continued to impact its earnings. The company’s share price has slumped 32% last year, and it will be interesting to see how it addresses the challenges faced by its chip business in the coming quarters.

References

  • TrendForce: "Global DDR4 DRAM Revenue Forecast"
  • Micron Technology: "Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Release"
  • Samsung Electronics: "Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Release"

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